Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 15.370082 17.319401 19.438978 21.917737 24.740722 27.859873 31.573273
2025-03-16 12.422256 14.997924 18.012682 21.813287 26.492865 32.086825 39.311405
2025-03-23 10.655241 13.678103 17.456896 22.554963 29.295100 37.958707 50.031059
2025-03-30 9.020718 12.232549 16.492010 22.603293 31.227253 43.081810 60.817465
2025-04-06 7.566310 10.776408 15.265857 22.076907 32.279027 47.199264 71.051839
2025-04-13 6.472341 9.639342 14.288814 21.714882 33.471592 51.692148 82.705612
2025-04-20 5.820907 9.042458 13.994632 22.302300 36.174454 58.917314 100.078449
2025-04-27 5.301971 8.565330 13.801604 23.000565 39.154968 67.097899 120.745731
2025-05-04 4.793413 8.026376 13.422265 23.314672 41.521116 74.636348 141.864448
2025-05-11 4.239952 7.331713 12.678171 22.866027 42.435140 79.707968 159.385707
2025-05-18 3.783533 6.742001 12.030717 22.482073 43.387057 84.992838 178.455073
2025-05-25 3.410252 6.251302 11.492009 22.212812 44.502483 90.776875 199.837562
2025-06-01 3.104152 5.855107 11.093384 22.192915 46.201486 98.257135 227.201716
2025-06-08 2.828337 5.481664 10.689272 22.101968 47.746616 105.738595 256.532879
2025-06-15 2.671158 5.322300 10.689103 22.865043 51.322986 118.552087 302.477905
2025-06-22 2.464613 5.035443 10.387998 22.921643 53.293023 127.996187 342.257386
2025-06-29 2.232878 4.666669 9.864748 22.392405 53.769906 133.867318 373.881824
2025-07-06 2.041925 4.361998 9.440841 22.028323 54.588977 140.787217 410.483808
2025-07-13 1.940818 4.243193 9.416868 22.627428 58.000489 155.384784 474.679084
2025-07-20 1.855248 4.148827 9.436264 23.338514 61.854023 172.091083 550.825116
2025-07-27 1.752276 4.001482 9.311275 23.658894 64.697821 186.535160 624.096012
2025-08-03 1.614606 3.755603 8.916834 23.203990 65.245108 194.199818 676.123326
2025-08-10 1.494042 3.537712 8.565449 22.814522 65.922507 202.459336 733.184181